World Energy Scenarios
Scenarios provide an inclusive and strategic framework that enables big-picture thinking and decision making under deep uncertainty. They are designed to be used as a set to explore and navigate what might happen, not what should happen or what we want to happen. The World Energy Council has been developing scenarios for almost two decades to support a better-quality global strategic dialogue on the future of energy systems.
The scenarios can be used to:
- Explore plausible pathways and encourage deeper insights into energy transition on national, regional and global levels
- Forge the new and still emerging energy leadership agendas
- Think ‘outside the box’ of existing solutions and policies
- Explore new opportunities and stress-test strategic options and policy choices
The World Energy Council introduced its long-term scenarios in 2016 which focuses on the 2060 time horizon and presents three alternative pathways though the Grand Transition – Modern Jazz, Unfinished Symphony and Hard Rock. Three years later, in 2019, the Council refreshed its global energy foresight and global scenarios narratives with focus on a 2040 time horizon to explore the role of disruptive innovation in energy transition.
Covid-19 Post-Crisis Scenarios
In response to Covid-19 the World Energy Council has developed a set of post-crisis scenarios for a medium term to 2025: Pause, Rewind, Re-Record and Fast-Forward. While long-term scenarios provide a broader context for Covid-19 response, post-crisis scenarios serve as a flexible tool to prepare for an unpredictable future and shape the post-crisis agenda. These scenarios allow us to navigate how we can emerge from this crisis as a more resilient society and progress successful energy transition.